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NATO
General Secretary Jaap de Hoop Scheffer was unpleasantly surprised when the
Macedonians rejected his offer to go to
Skopje
and explain ‘the essence’ of the
Bucharest
decision not to invite
Macedonia
to become a NATO member, and to reassure the public that it meant ‘nothing terribly
dreadful’. The country’s shock and disappointment because Macedonia - thanks to
the Greek veto - has for the foreseeable future fallen from the train of
Euro-Atlantic integration, and also because of the humiliating treatment its
officials received at the NATO summit, were the main reason why for the time
being ‘Scheffer is not wanted’.
This
move has sent a clear signal that matters surrounding
Macedonia have
taken a downturn. The worst possible scenario has occurred:
Macedonia feels
itself punished and victimised. While being ready to compromise, it could not
but reject
Greece’s
extreme blackmail over its name. Now it is being obliged to pay the price. It
feels this particularly badly because of the impression given by the leading
European leaders that it is largely
Macedonia’s own fault that it does
not find itself in company with
Albania
and
Croatia.
The first consequence arrived promptly: the country is in a state of complete
depression, communications with
Brussels
are (temporarily?) severed. and to crown it all the Macedonian political class
has responded in the worst possible manner by dissolving parliament and
accepting the resignation of Nikola Gruevski’s government.
This
cold shower has come from Skopje despite the fact that US President Bush - who
tried hard to win an invitation for Macedonia too - has in the past few days
been pressing through his officials for negotiations with Greece to be resumed
speedily, and completed within weeks, so that Macedonia may join NATO; and in
spite of Javier Solana’s appeal for decisions to be made with ‘cool heads’.
Macedonia, in
short, has done what
Greece
in particular was hoping for. Post-Bucharest
Europe
has thus acquired yet another hot spot in the Balkans.
Macedonia faces
a period of considerable instability, in which some commentators discern
fertile ground for the revival of old, mutually antagonistic, Balkan
aspirations towards its territory on the part of its neighbours.
Bucharest was a theatre of the
absurd. While Bush took the side of
Skopje,
the European leaders succumbed to the Greek demands without considering the
likely repercussions of such a stance for stability in the Balkans. At the same
time, these politicians competed among themselves over who would give more
compliments to Serbia, stating that the door to NATO stood open to it if only
Koštunica and Tadić would suspend their decision in favour of Serbian ‘military
neutrality’. Fuelled by Kosovo, and by the fear that political currents derived
from Miloševic’s regime - backed by Koštunica’s strengthened party - could once
again take charge of Serbia after 11 May, the policy of double standards has
once again triumphed.
Despite
Mladić, and despite its daily confrontations with the EU and the
USA,
Serbia is being
offered (albeit unofficially) the chance to sign a Stabilisation and
Association Agreement. A state that has caused a decade of nightmares to one
and all, and which right now is engulfed by noisy anti-Western propaganda, is
being rewarded; while a state that cooperated with NATO during the bombing of
Serbia, which took in hundreds of thousands of Albanian refugees and deportees
from Kosovo, and which has been trying to establish bridges with its
neighbours, is being punished. As one popular and reputable Serbian blogger has
asked: does
Europe have any idea what it is
doing? and is it aware that the logic of its policies is that crime ultimately
does indeed pay.
No
one in Bucharest apart from the stubborn Slovene Jelko Kacin, who did not hide
his bitterness that Europe was so lightly sacrificing Macedonia, appeared
bothered by the fact that Greece - a clerical and nationalist state that is in
conflict with all its neighbours (Bulgaria, Turkey, Albania and Macedonia),and
that sees itself as the exclusive owner and interpreter of Hellenic
civilisation and culture - is being allowed to behave in such a destructive
manner. Apart from anything else, by refusing, under a cloak of European
standards, to admit the existence of national groups other than Greeks upon its
own territory. And that at the same time it is being allowed to use the threat
of veto to decide on the name, language and history of other peoples. Driven by
its irrational obsession that the neighbouring country has pretensions to its
territory, Greece has raised its long-standing conflict with Macedonia to the
level of supreme national interest, taking it to the point where it will become
difficult, if not impossible, to solve.
Athens’s
triumph in
Bucharest
has encouraged it to assume an even harder position, threatening
Macedonia that
unless it succumbs to Greek blackmail over its name,
Athens will block its further progress
towards the EU:, from its visa regime, via fixing a date for the start of
negotiations, to entry itself.
The inability of the European bureaucracy to
deal with crisis situations, and to rein in Greek nationalist arrogance and
swagger, has only strengthened
Greece’s
potential for blackmail. It will be interesting to see how the EU will behave
if and when
Macedonia,
through no fault of its own, regains its old position as the Balkan powder keg
and the apple of European discord.
Pescanik.net, 13. 4. 2008.
Translation from Bosnian Institute |